ICICI Securities Limited Broker Research reports

Q4FY25 marks eight straight quarters of strong financial performance and effective execution at SBFC Finance (SBFC). This is evident in its AUM growth outshining the guided range of 5–7% QoQ, better opex to AUM at 4.65% in FY25 vs. 5.34% in FY24, and credit cost at 80–100bps as envisaged earlier, despite the operating environment being mired in tight liquidity, higher delinquencies in unsecured loans and the rising rate cycle.

TVS Motor Company (TVSL) continued to move up the profitability curve in Q4FY25. Excluding PLI benefit of previous quarters, Q4 EBITDA margin stood at 12.5%, up ~120bps/60bps. TVSL expects growth momentum to continue; it expects to outperform industry in both ICE and EV segments in FY26.

Cholamandalam Finance’s (Chola) Q4FY25 performance was broadly in line with highest quarterly PBT-ROTA at 3.6% driven by 30bps QoQ NIM expansion, 10bps QoQ each credit cost and operating expense moderation.

SBI Cards (SBIC) reported a disappointing FY25 with a 20% decline in PAT driven by higher credit cost (9%) and low NIMs (10.8%). While management commentary and execution have ratified possible peaking of both credit cost and cost of funds (CoF), the recovery trajectory remains to be monitored.

Poonawalla Fincorp (Poonawalla) reported mixed Q4FY25 earnings with PAT at INR 0.6bn or 76bps RoA, wherein opex continued to be elevated. However, there was some respite on credit cost front with sequential decline.

In line with our expectations, Macrotech Developers (LODHA) has achieved strong Q4FY25 sales bookings of INR 48.1bn (up 14% YoY).

Shriram Finance’s (Shriram) Q4FY25 financial performance was subdued with a sharp NIM contraction and a spike in credit cost. While headline asset quality improved with GNPL falling to 4.55% vs. 5.38% QoQ, this was driven by higher write-offs at >INR 20bn during Q4FY25.

Dr Lal PathLabs’ (Dr Lal) Q4FY25 results were slightly better than our expectation. Outperformance was driven by higher sample volumes (up 9.5% YoY) and realisation improvement.

Supreme Industries (SI) reported Q4FY25 blended plastics volume growth of 2.3% YoY (6-year CAGR of 9.8%) with pipes segment reporting modest 2.2% YoY volume growth (6-year CAGR of 11.7%) on a high base YoY. Blended EBIT/kg contracted 23.1% YoY to INR16.5 (+19.2% QoQ) as pipes EBIT/kg fell 27.8% YoY to INR 13.3 (+22.3% QoQ), partly due to inventory losses.

Aavas Financiers (Aavas) reported in-line Q4FY25 financial performance, evident in strong 6% QoQ AUM growth, steady 15bps credit cost, 46bps QoQ dip in 1+ DPD to 3.39% and RoA at 3.3%.